Economist Election Forecast 2025. Prediction for 632 constituencies of britain (ie, excluding northern ireland) based on 10,000 simulations in which a general election is held “tomorrow”. Our prediction model assesses each party’s chances of winning the chamber.
Our elections coverage offers insight into policy changes and potential implications for a wide range of. In gelman et al.’s (2025) piece for the 2025 election theme, the authors take a hard look at both widely acknowledged and, more interestingly, the most unacknowledged.